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Canada should pursue free trade agreements with countries
in the Arab world...
The root causes of violence and extremism are often
economic -- lack of jobs, housing and little hope for a
prosperous future. Arab intra-regional regional free trade
and the willingness of G7 nations like Canada to negotiate
free trade agreements in the Arab world could provide much
needed hope for a better future.
The hotbeds of extremism in the Middle East -- the slums
of Cairo, the bleak suburbs of Algiers, the congested centre
of Gaza City -- have one common feature; scores of unemployed,
disillusioned young people with no prospects for jobs, housing
or self improvement. Stymied on all fronts by repressive
governments, rigid nepotism driven bureaucracies, and burdensome
centrally planned and regulated business environments, these
young people search for self esteem and individual identity
through rediscovering their national and religious roots.
Easy prey for radical clerics and others preaching an austere,
violent and retrograde minority version of Islam, immersion
in a subculture of hate becomes a substitute for the fruits
of economic activity they have been denied.
According to recent statistics, the Arab world is one of
the regions least open to international trade and globalization.
Tariffs remain prohibitively high (250% on cars in Syria,
54% on clothes in Egypt), rates of foreign direct investment
have fallen by 50% since 1980, and only 11 of the 22 Arab
League nations are members of the WTO. Intra-regional trade
is a trickle. The Maghreb states, Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia,
have virtually closed their shared borders and trade more
with France than with each other.
The long term answer to economic malaise in the Arab world,
if the states of southeast Asia are any indication, is to
integrate Arab economies with the rest of the world by opening
up to trade and foreign investment. Four decades ago Singapore
and Malaysia were experiencing much of what the Arab world
is today -- religious and ideological conflict, post-colonial
economic structural strains and disastrous central economic
planning. After decades of reducing trade barriers and welcoming
foreign investment both countries are among the most economically
integrated in the world economy and enjoy high standards
of living and low unemployment rates.
The comprehensive policy response to the economic challenges
in the Arab world is beyond the scope of this article, but
there are small economic openings that Canadian policy makers
can pursue. The Maghreb countries have pursued, in fits
and starts, the idea of a Maghreb economic union. Roughly
modelled after the North American Free Trade Agreement,
a Maghreb Union would reduce regional trade barriers and
open a larger combined market to the European Union and
North America. Canada, with a long positive diplomatic history
in the French and Arabic speaking Maghreb states, is well
placed to make a positive intervention in the formation
of a Maghreb union by promising greater Canadian market
access and investment in Maghreb union business and infrastructure.
Canada should also look at the precedent set by the recent
signing af a U.S.-Jordan free trade agreement. Jordan's
King Abdullah, long a believer in the positive societal
effects of economic growth, would likely welcome a Canadian
initiative to open the free trade agreement to Canada. While,
in the short run, Jordan has much more than Canada to gain
from such an agreement, Canada's long term economic and
security interests will be better served by a prosperous
and open Arab world than by the status quo.
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